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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium MK
Crewe Alexandra

MK Dons
2 - 1
Crewe

Parrott (24'), Coventry (40')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sambou (90+3')
Mandron (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between MK Dons and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Crewe
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 2-0 Crewe Alexandra

With more quality in their ranks and momentum on their side, everything points to an MK Dons win on Tuesday. Manning's men have their sights set on the top two, and they should not be derailed at home to the league's basement side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 69.19%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 12.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawCrewe Alexandra
69.19%18.6%12.21%
Both teams to score 48.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.89%43.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.49%65.51%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.66%11.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.98%36.03%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.54%45.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.7%81.3%
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 69.18%
    Crewe Alexandra 12.21%
    Draw 18.6%
MK DonsDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-0 @ 12.21%
1-0 @ 11.22%
2-1 @ 9.63%
3-0 @ 8.87%
3-1 @ 6.99%
4-0 @ 4.83%
4-1 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 2.75%
5-0 @ 2.1%
5-1 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 69.18%
1-1 @ 8.85%
0-0 @ 5.16%
2-2 @ 3.8%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 18.6%
0-1 @ 4.06%
1-2 @ 3.49%
0-2 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1%
1-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 12.21%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Crewe

MK Dons
79.5%
Draw
7.7%
Crewe Alexandra
12.8%
39
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Crewe
1-4
MK Dons
Long (52')
Lloyd-Bennett (69')
Eisa (12'), O'Riley (64'), Daniels (82' og.), Watters (90+6')
Twine (58')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
0-2
Crewe
Mandron (15', 20')
Lancashire (77'), Wintle (90+5')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Crewe
2-0
MK Dons
Mandron (13'), Finney (20')
Finney (56')

Gladwin (37'), Houghton (57'), Fraser (65'), Morris (90+4')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
MK Dons
0-1
Crewe

Cargill (42'), Agard (45')
Kirk (32')
Jones (43'), Garratt (81')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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