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Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
Oxford United

Portsmouth
2 - 1
Oxford Utd

Lang (2'), Saydee (67')
Lang (28'), Ogilvie (65'), Kamara (81'), Bishop (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brannagan (6' pen.)
Harris (30'), Rodrigues (42'), Henry (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 0-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

We said: Portsmouth 2-2 Oxford United

Although Oxford have struggled for wins in recent times, they have seen five of their last seven matches finish all square, and with their previous three meetings with Portsmouth all ending in draws, we think the U's may do enough to take a point off the league leaders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 55.41%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 22.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portsmouth in this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawOxford United
55.41% (0.0079999999999956 0.01) 22.2% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 22.38% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.91% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.79% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)41.21% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.22% (0.0010000000000048 0)14.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.97% (0.0039999999999978 0)43.03% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)32.05% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48% (-0.012 -0.01)68.52% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 55.41%
    Oxford United 22.38%
    Draw 22.2%
PortsmouthDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 9.85%
1-0 @ 9.06% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.71%
5-1 @ 1.15%
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 55.41%
1-1 @ 10.3%
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.2%
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.39%
0-2 @ 3.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 22.38%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Oxford Utd

Portsmouth
81.0%
Draw
9.5%
Oxford United
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Oxford Utd
2-2
Portsmouth
Goodrham (45'), Henry (90')
Buckingham (59')
Bishop (69'), Lang (80')
Bishop (58'), Peart-Harris (81')
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Oxford Utd
1-1
Portsmouth
Long (37')
Pack (26')
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Portsmouth
3-2
Oxford Utd
Raggett (42'), Hirst (45+2'), Carter (58')
Carter (74')
Browne (3'), McNally (81')
Long (86')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 31
Oxford Utd
3-2
Portsmouth
McNally (6'), Brannagan (82'), Holland (90+6')
Brannagan (64'), Seddon (77'), Kane (80'), Moore (90+4')
Jacobs (10'), Curtis (51')
Jacobs (24'), Hirst (28'), Hume (45+4'), Curtis (81'), Bazunu (88'), Tunnicliffe (90+2'), Raggett (90+11')
Morrell (16')
rhs 2.0
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