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League One
Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Portsmouth

Carlisle
0 - 1
Portsmouth


Vela (29')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lane (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-2 Carlisle
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last Game: Portsmouth 4-1 Northampton
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One

We said: Carlisle United 1-3 Portsmouth

 Despite having to contend with a number of injury issues, Portsmouth will carry significant momentum into Saturday's contest, and we think that the leaders will sweep past a struggling Carlisle side to continue their promotion push. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 58.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 18.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.78%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Portsmouth in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawPortsmouth
18.69% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 22.9% (0.0030000000000001 0) 58.41% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.86% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.9% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)49.1% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.83% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)71.17% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.72% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)40.28% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.09% (-0.032 -0.03)76.91% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)16.51% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.76% (-0.012 -0.01)46.24% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 18.69%
    Portsmouth 58.4%
    Draw 22.9%
Carlisle UnitedDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 6.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 4.95% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 2.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 18.69%
1-1 @ 10.89%
0-0 @ 6.65% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 22.9%
0-1 @ 11.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 5.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
0-5 @ 1.05%
1-5 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 58.4%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Portsmouth

Carlisle United
20.0%
Draw
5.0%
Portsmouth
75.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Portsmouth
1-0
Carlisle
Shaughnessy (90+3')
Rafferty (78')

McCalmont (48'), Guy (70'), Garner (73')
Feb 25, 2017 3pm
Carlisle
0-3
Portsmouth

O'Sullivan (40'), Miller (61')
Roberts (73'), Linganzi (86'), Whatmough (92')
Aug 6, 2016 3pm
Portsmouth
1-1
Carlisle
Baker (42')
Lambe (14')
Devitt (19'), Gillespie (73')
Devitt (28')
Apr 2, 2016 3pm
Portsmouth
1-0
Carlisle
Smith (57')
Stevens (44')

Raynes (73')
Nov 21, 2015 3pm
Carlisle
2-2
Portsmouth
Grainger (44' pen., 95')
Dicker (85')
Lavery (66'), McNulty (68')
Lavery (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628
> League One Full Table


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