Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.