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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Cambridge United |
48.7% ( 0.17) | 23.98% ( -0.11) | 27.32% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 57.22% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.41% ( 0.47) | 44.59% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.04% ( 0.45) | 66.96% ( -0.45) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.58% ( 0.25) | 18.42% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.42% ( 0.42) | 49.58% ( -0.42) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.14% ( 0.2) | 29.86% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.04% ( 0.24) | 65.95% ( -0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Cambridge United |
2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.44% Total : 48.7% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 27.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 46 | 19 | 27 | 63 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 59 |
3 | Wrexham | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 55 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 50 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 48 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 44 |
8 | Reading | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 44 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 44 |
10 | Barnsley | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 43 |
11 | Stevenage | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 40 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 39 |
13 | Blackpool | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 38 |
14 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 37 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 34 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 32 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 30 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 28 |
21 | Burton Albion | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 25 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 24 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 23 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
> League One Full Table |