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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 69.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 11.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Newport County |
69.13% ( -0.62) | 19.18% ( 0.25) | 11.7% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 44.85% ( 0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.09% ( -0.11) | 46.91% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.84% ( -0.1) | 69.16% ( 0.11) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.55% ( -0.2) | 12.45% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.61% ( -0.43) | 38.39% ( 0.44) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.23% ( 0.6) | 48.76% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.21% ( 0.43) | 83.78% ( -0.42) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Newport County |
2-0 @ 13.17% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 12.65% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 69.12% | 1-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.62% Total : 19.18% | 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.51% Total : 11.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 52 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 42 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 24 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
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