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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gillingham win with a probability of 59.83%. A draw has a probability of 22.5% and a win for Newport County has a probability of 17.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Newport County win it is 0-1 (5.86%).
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Newport County |
59.83% ( 0.43) | 22.54% ( -0.14) | 17.63% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 49.05% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.81% ( 0.1) | 49.19% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.75% ( 0.09) | 71.25% ( -0.08) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.95% ( 0.18) | 16.05% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.59% ( 0.33) | 45.41% ( -0.33) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.42% ( -0.3) | 41.58% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.93% ( -0.26) | 78.07% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Newport County |
1-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.06% Total : 59.82% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.53% | 0-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.87% Total : 17.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 20 |
3 | Notts County | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Walsall | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Gillingham | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 19 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 18 |
9 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 17 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 16 |
11 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
12 | Chesterfield | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
13 | Newport CountyNewport | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 14 |
15 | MK Dons | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
16 | Salford City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 12 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Bromley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 9 |
23 | Morecambe | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 7 |
> League Two Full Table |