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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 51.39%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (7.41%).
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
51.39% ( 0.02) | 24.98% ( 0) | 23.63% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.48% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.21% ( -0.03) | 51.78% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.45% ( -0.03) | 73.55% ( 0.03) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.85% ( -0) | 20.15% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.57% ( -0.01) | 52.42% ( 0.01) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.22% ( -0.03) | 36.78% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.43% ( -0.03) | 73.57% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
1-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.08% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 51.39% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 23.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 20 |
3 | Notts County | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Walsall | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Gillingham | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 19 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 18 |
9 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 17 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 16 |
11 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
12 | Chesterfield | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
13 | Newport CountyNewport | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 14 |
15 | MK Dons | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
16 | Salford City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 12 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Bromley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 9 |
23 | Morecambe | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 7 |
> League Two Full Table |