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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 8
Nov 19, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Accrington Stanley

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 2
Accrington

Smith (89'), Tilley (90+8')
Jackson (23'), Stevens (37'), Tilley (60'), Ball (70'), Neufville (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Khumbeni (58'), Costelloe (76')
Woods (22'), Rawson (45+1'), Walton (88'), Hunter (90+9')
Rawson (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 1-3 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 2-2 Swindon
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Accrington Stanley

The hosts have had a largely positive start to the 2024-25 campaign, while the visitors are coming into this one in a great run of form, leading us to believe this one will end all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 22.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawAccrington Stanley
54.24% (-1.33 -1.33) 23.42% (0.591 0.59) 22.34% (0.739 0.74)
Both teams to score 53.77% (-0.921 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.33% (-1.708 -1.71)46.67% (1.708 1.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.06% (-1.623 -1.62)68.94% (1.621 1.62)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.89% (-1.083 -1.08)17.11% (1.082 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.68% (-1.943 -1.94)47.32% (1.943 1.94)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.87% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)35.13% (0.26 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.11% (-0.273 -0.27)71.89% (0.27199999999999 0.27)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 54.24%
    Accrington Stanley 22.34%
    Draw 23.42%
AFC WimbledonDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.61% (0.38 0.38)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 9.37% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.77% (-0.256 -0.26)
3-0 @ 5.51% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.156 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.211 -0.21)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.183 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 54.24%
1-1 @ 11.1% (0.32 0.32)
0-0 @ 6.01% (0.421 0.42)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.42%
0-1 @ 6.29% (0.4 0.4)
1-2 @ 5.81% (0.128 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.29% (0.187 0.19)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2%
Total : 22.34%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Accrington

AFC Wimbledon
55.1%
Draw
24.5%
Accrington Stanley
20.4%
49
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Accrington
2-0
AFC Wimbledon
Nolan (50'), Woods (81')
Bickerstaff (90+6')

Ball (36')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
AFC Wimbledon
2-4
Accrington
Bugiel (51', 70')
Pell (24'), Al-Hamadi (68'), Biler (82')
Pritchard (4', 46'), Leigh (9'), Hills (83')
Bagueloc'rich (25'), Hills (54'), Mellor (63')
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
AFC Wimbledon
3-4
Accrington
Assal (56'), Rudoni (58', 66')
Heneghan (79')
Bagueloc'rich (18'), Bishop (35'), Nottingham (45'), O'Sullivan (63')
Bagueloc'rich (73'), Butcher (81')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Accrington
1-5
AFC Wimbledon
Nottingham (5')
Burgess (56')
Palmer (21', 42'), Assal (45+1', 64'), Pigott (57')
Assal (65'), Heneghan (67')
Heneghan (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
18Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
19Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
21Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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