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Championship header 2

League Two
Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Stevenage

Barrow
0 - 1
Stevenage


Farman (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Reeves (25')
Forster-Caskey (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Barrow and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barrow

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 3-1 Barrow
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

Stevenage

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Barrow 1-2 Stevenage

 Stevenage will be looking to finish their promotion-winning campaign with a win, and after thrashing Barrow 5-0 in the reverse fixture, we think that they will have the belief to claim all three points on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.

Result
BarrowDrawStevenage
33.34% (-0.59 -0.59) 28.73% (0.103 0.1) 37.93% (0.488 0.49)
Both teams to score 45.47% (-0.373 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.98% (-0.419 -0.42)61.02% (0.42 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.99% (-0.314 -0.31)81.01% (0.316 0.32)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.95% (-0.62400000000001 -0.62)34.05% (0.628 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.27% (-0.678 -0.68)70.73% (0.67999999999999 0.68)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.94% (0.088999999999999 0.09)31.06% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.62% (0.10299999999999 0.1)67.38% (-0.101 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 33.34%
    Stevenage 37.92%
    Draw 28.72%
BarrowDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 11.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.18% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-0 @ 6.14% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 33.34%
1-1 @ 13.32% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.57% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.72%
0-1 @ 12.36% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.23% (0.147 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.82% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 37.92%

How you voted: Barrow vs Stevenage

Barrow
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Stevenage
100%
5
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 20
Stevenage
5-0
Barrow
Reeves (18'), Reid (50'), Sweeney (75'), Norris (78' pen.), Warren (86' og.)

Ray (40')
Feb 12, 2022 4.30pm
gameweek 32
Barrow
0-0
Stevenage

Amadi-Holloway (55')

Prosser (65')
Prosser (90+7')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
gameweek 1
Stevenage
1-0
Barrow
Reeves (46')
Lines (45+1'), Cuthbert (52'), Vancooten (55'), Taylor (90')

Taylor (21'), Banks (22'), Platt (45+2'), Kay (51'), Ntlhe (68'), Devitt (79')
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
gameweek 38
Stevenage
2-1
Barrow
List (53'), Norris (87' pen.)
Andrew (78')
Banks (68'), Kay (87'), Barry (87')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
gameweek 1
Barrow
1-1
Stevenage
Angus (12' pen.)
Beadling (44')
Effiong (85' pen.)
Newton (11')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137
> League Two Full Table


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