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Championship header 2

League Two
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Fleetwood Town

Carlisle
2 - 3
Fleetwood

Wyke (42' pen., 52')
Hayden (20'), Biggins (78'), Davies (79'), Jones (83')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mayor (10', 67'), Coughlin (19')
Helm (21'), Virtue (58'), Coughlin (77'), Johnston (87')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Fleetwood Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-1 Carlisle
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-3 Aston Villa U21s
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
38.14% (0.052999999999997 0.05) 26.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 35.65% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 53.49% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.91% (0.013999999999996 0.01)51.09% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.05% (0.009999999999998 0.01)72.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.86% (0.034000000000006 0.03)26.14% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.79% (0.047000000000004 0.05)61.21% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.42% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)27.57% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.9% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)63.09% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 38.14%
    Fleetwood Town 35.65%
    Draw 26.2%
Carlisle UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 9.67% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.74% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.14%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.21% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 9.29% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 35.65%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Fleetwood
1-1
Carlisle
Stockley (35')
Wiredu (65')
Moxon (27')
> Preview
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Carlisle
1-1
Fleetwood
Moxon (36')
Huntington (4'), Mellish (45+2')
Wiredu (45+4')
Brown (5'), Nsiala (73'), Earl (85'), Rooney (90+6')
> Preview
Sep 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
1-1
Fleetwood
Idehen (90')
Garner (46')
Sep 1, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
1-3
Fleetwood
Toure (36')
Riley (90+2')
Toure (90')
Camps (44'), Saunders (57', 68')
Matete (90+2')
Nov 8, 2017 7.45pm
-
Carlisle
1-2
Fleetwood
Miller (86')
Devitt (33'), Miller (55')
Sowerby (10'), Burns (44')
Biggins (29')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall106131912719
2Gillingham10613125719
3BarrowBarrow10613137619
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster106131512319
5Notts County10532179818
6Port Vale105321512318
7Fleetwood TownFleetwood9441169716
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe9513109116
9Bradford CityBradford104331411315
10Newport CountyNewport105051620-415
11Grimsby Town105051317-415
12Chesterfield103521710714
13AFC Wimbledon741295413
14MK Dons103341312112
15Salford City933369-312
16Colchester UnitedColchester102531315-211
17Tranmere RoversTranmere925259-411
18Harrogate TownHarrogate10325916-711
19Bromley102441214-210
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham103161216-410
21Swindon TownSwindon10154913-48
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle102171019-97
23Accrington StanleyAccrington91351119-86
24Morecambe10046814-64
> League Two Full Table


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