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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Fleetwood Town

Carlisle
2 - 3
Fleetwood

Wyke (42' pen., 52')
Hayden (20'), Biggins (78'), Davies (79'), Jones (83')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mayor (10', 67'), Coughlin (19')
Helm (21'), Virtue (58'), Coughlin (77'), Johnston (87')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Fleetwood Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 2-1 Carlisle
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
38.14% (0.052999999999997 0.05) 26.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 35.65% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 53.49% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.91% (0.013999999999996 0.01)51.09% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.05% (0.009999999999998 0.01)72.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.86% (0.034000000000006 0.03)26.14% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.79% (0.047000000000004 0.05)61.21% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.42% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)27.57% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.9% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)63.09% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 38.14%
    Fleetwood Town 35.65%
    Draw 26.2%
Carlisle UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 9.67% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.74% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.14%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.21% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 9.29% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 35.65%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Fleetwood
1-1
Carlisle
Stockley (35')
Wiredu (65')
Moxon (27')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Carlisle
1-1
Fleetwood
Moxon (36')
Huntington (4'), Mellish (45+2')
Wiredu (45+4')
Brown (5'), Nsiala (73'), Earl (85'), Rooney (90+6')
Sep 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
1-1
Fleetwood
Idehen (90')
Garner (46')
Sep 1, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
1-3
Fleetwood
Toure (36')
Riley (90+2')
Toure (90')
Camps (44'), Saunders (57', 68')
Matete (90+2')
Nov 8, 2017 7.45pm
-
Carlisle
1-2
Fleetwood
Miller (86')
Devitt (33'), Miller (55')
Sowerby (10'), Burns (44')
Biggins (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Broncos
@
Saints
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale116321612421
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster116231613320
3Notts County115421911819
4Walsall106131912719
5Gillingham11614137619
6BarrowBarrow11614138519
7Bradford CityBradford115331611518
8Grimsby Town116051518-318
9Crewe AlexandraCrewe105231110117
10AFC Wimbledon8512135816
11Fleetwood TownFleetwood9441169716
12Chesterfield113621912715
13Newport CountyNewport115061621-515
14Harrogate TownHarrogate114251016-614
15MK Dons113351313012
16Salford City10334711-412
17Colchester UnitedColchester102531315-211
18Swindon TownSwindon112541215-311
19Tranmere RoversTranmere10253511-611
20Bromley102441214-210
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham113171419-510
22Accrington StanleyAccrington102351320-79
23Morecambe11146914-57
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle112181023-137


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