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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Salford City

Colchester
2 - 1
Salford City

Taylor (42'), Cooper (89')
Read (17'), Hall (29'), Taylor (31'), Mitchell (74'), Akinde (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McAleny (90+1')
Ingram (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 1-2 Salford City

Colchester took four points off Salford in their two meetings last season, but the Essex side are in such poor form, and Salford really need a result. We are expecting this to be a tight game but believe that Salford have enough quality to pick up what would be a very important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Colchester United in this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawSalford City
38.83% (0.32700000000001 0.33) 24.38% (-0.125 -0.13) 36.79% (-0.201 -0.2)
Both teams to score 60.01% (0.45500000000001 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.25% (0.591 0.59)42.75% (-0.591 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.85% (0.586 0.59)65.15% (-0.586 -0.59)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.99% (0.426 0.43)22.01% (-0.425 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.67% (0.642 0.64)55.33% (-0.642 -0.64)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (0.164 0.16)23.06% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.12% (0.238 0.24)56.88% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 38.83%
    Salford City 36.79%
    Draw 24.38%
Colchester UnitedDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.035 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.68% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.81% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.067 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 38.83%
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.26% (0.055 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.08% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.38%
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.45% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.46% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.04% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-3 @ 3.06% (0.041 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.48% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 36.79%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Salford City
0-3
Colchester

Turnbull (50'), Watson (54')
Chambers (30'), Kenlock (33'), Andrews (82')
Huws (61')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Colchester
0-2
Salford City

Jasper (90+2')
Thomas-Asante (10'), Elliott (25')
Turnbull (38'), Lund (50'), Thomas-Asante (59')
Thomas-Asante (88')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Colchester
1-0
Salford City
Bohui (69')
Sarpong-Wiredu (72')

Bernard (15'), Turnbull (79'), Eastham (82'), Threlkeld (86')
Bernard (32'), Hunter (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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