Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Hartlepool United |
33.45% ( -0.47) | 27.21% ( -0) | 39.34% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 49.93% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.54% ( -0.07) | 55.46% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.35% ( -0.05) | 76.65% ( 0.05) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.89% ( -0.34) | 31.11% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.57% ( -0.4) | 67.43% ( 0.4) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.49% ( 0.23) | 27.51% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.98% ( 0.3) | 63.02% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Hartlepool United |
1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 33.45% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
> League Two Full Table |