Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.