Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Rochdale |
42.63% ( 0.25) | 28.42% ( 0.02) | 28.95% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 44.9% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.96% ( -0.16) | 61.04% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.97% ( -0.12) | 81.02% ( 0.12) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.65% ( 0.06) | 28.35% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.91% ( 0.07) | 64.08% ( -0.08) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.67% ( -0.3) | 37.33% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.89% ( -0.3) | 74.11% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 13.33% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 42.62% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.41% | 0-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.75% Total : 28.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 34 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 33 |
14 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |