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Doncaster Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Rochdale

Doncaster
4 - 3
Rochdale

Seaman (6'), Close (9'), Biggins (37'), Anderson (81')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Rodney (14'), Williams (16' og.), Sinclair (77')
Ebanks-Landell (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and Rochdale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Doncaster Rovers 2-1 Rochdale

Rochdale are a team in the need of points right now considering the fact they are in the relegation zone, and with Doncaster's current poor form this could be an ideal game. However, with Rovers having the home advantage, this could end up being another difficult fixture for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawRochdale
42.63% (0.248 0.25) 28.42% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 28.95% (-0.268 -0.27)
Both teams to score 44.9% (-0.18 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.96% (-0.16 -0.16)61.04% (0.158 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.97% (-0.121 -0.12)81.02% (0.12 0.12)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (0.057000000000002 0.06)28.35% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.91% (0.074999999999996 0.07)64.08% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.67% (-0.302 -0.3)37.33% (0.3 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (-0.297 -0.3)74.11% (0.295 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 42.62%
    Rochdale 28.94%
    Draw 28.41%
Doncaster RoversDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 13.33% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 8.41% (0.077 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.53% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 42.62%
1-1 @ 13.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.58% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.41%
0-1 @ 10.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 28.94%

How you voted: Doncaster vs Rochdale

Doncaster Rovers
76.9%
Draw
15.4%
Rochdale
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Rochdale
1-2
Doncaster
Done (83')
Rathbone (54'), Keohane (90+3')
Richards (30', 56')
Jan 19, 2021 7pm
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2671273028233
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2784152338-1528
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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