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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
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Carlisle United
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Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
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Morecambe
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Forest Green Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
Crawley Town

Forest Green
2 - 1
Crawley

Morton (26', 45+2')
Dabo (4'), Maddox (67'), Welch (69'), Moore-Taylor (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Darcy (6')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Crawley
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 37.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawCrawley Town
37.83% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 24.82% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 37.35% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 58.44% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.21% (0.039000000000001 0.04)44.79% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.85% (0.036999999999999 0.04)67.15% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)23.43% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)57.43% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32% (0.064999999999998 0.06)23.68% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.21% (0.091000000000001 0.09)57.79% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 37.83%
    Crawley Town 37.35%
    Draw 24.81%
Forest Green RoversDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.84% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.83% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 37.83%
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.81%
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.76% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.01% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.76% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 37.35%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Crawley
2-1
Forest Green
Nadesan (24'), Tunnicliffe (32')
Craig (30'), Francomb (72'), Powell (77'), Morris (85')
Bernard (80')
Sweeney (90'), Adams (90+4')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Forest Green
6-3
Crawley
Cadden (1', 67', 69'), Stevens (24'), Matt (48'), Young (78')
Adams (59')
Hessenthaler (14', 30'), Appiah (86')
Craig (27'), Appiah (90')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Crawley
0-0
Forest Green
McNerney (49'), Wright (65')
Stokes (56')
Dec 29, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 21
Forest Green
1-2
Crawley
Young (50')
Nichols (16', 79')
Craig (61'), Davies (90+3')
Jan 4, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 26
Crawley
1-1
Forest Green
Lubala (45')
Tunnicliffe (63' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2912983629745
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2981293940-136
17Newport CountyNewport2896133747-1033
18Gillingham2795132529-432
19BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2965182746-1923
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421


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