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Rio Ave
Taca de Portugal | Quarter-Finals
Feb 6, 2025 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
2 - 1
Sao Joao Ver

Clayton (34', 90+8')
Ntoi (36'), Luiz (51'), Clayton (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pedro Coimbra Chaves (19' pen.)
Pedro Coimbra Chaves (25'), (25'), Edgar Azevedo Nunes Almeida (36'), Andrade Fortunato (90+7'), Rodrigues Azevedo Tavares (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Taca de Portugal clash between Rio Ave and Sao Joao Ver, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-2 Porto
Monday, February 3 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Oliveira Hospital 1-3 Sao Joao Ver
Saturday, December 21 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Rio Ave 3-1 Sao Joao Ver

Rio Ave's run of clean sheets and Victor's goalscoring form means the third-tier visitors should find the back of the net against the Liga outfit. However, the top-flight team are backed to make the most of their superior technical quality to secure a first semi-final berth since 2016. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Sao Joao Ver had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Sao Joao Ver win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Rio Ave in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rio Ave.

Result
Rio AveDrawSao Joao Ver
51.53% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 23.26% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 25.21% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.68% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.93% (0.009999999999998 0.01)43.08% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)65.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.22% (0.0019999999999953 0)16.78% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)46.73%
Sao Joao Ver Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.31% (0.010000000000005 0.01)30.69% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.06% (0.011000000000003 0.01)66.94% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 51.53%
    Sao Joao Ver 25.21%
    Draw 23.26%
Rio AveDrawSao Joao Ver
2-1 @ 9.69%
1-0 @ 9.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.2% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 5.77%
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.57%
4-0 @ 2.18%
4-2 @ 1.52%
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 51.53%
1-1 @ 10.85%
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 6.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.08%
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 25.21%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Sao Joao Ver

Rio Ave
84.6%
Draw
7.7%
Sao Joao Ver
7.7%
26
rhs 2.0
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