Accrington

2 - 1

Forest Green

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.