MX23RW : Tuesday, February 11 08:03:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Sarmiento
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 6, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Eva Peron de Junin

Sarmiento
1 - 1
San Martin SJ

Suhr (55')
Vigo (72'), Carabajal (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Anselmo (15')
Jaurena (38'), Recalde (54'), Adrian Toloza (90+2')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and San Martin de San Juan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lanus 2-0 Sarmiento
Sunday, February 2 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Martin SJ 0-0 Rosario
Saturday, February 1 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 43.93%. A draw had a probability of 31.7% and a win for San Martin de San Juan had a probability of 24.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (7.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.88%), while for a San Martin de San Juan win it was 0-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
SarmientoDrawSan Martin de San Juan
43.93% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02) 31.68% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 24.39% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 34.86% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
28.01% (-0.032 -0.03)71.99% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
11.52% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)88.48% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.76% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)33.24% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.15% (-0.032 -0.03)69.85% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
San Martin de San Juan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.21% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)47.79% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.93% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)83.07% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sarmiento 43.92%
    San Martin de San Juan 24.38%
    Draw 31.67%
SarmientoDrawSan Martin de San Juan
1-0 @ 17.49% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.64% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 7.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.54% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.61% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 43.92%
0-0 @ 15.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-1 @ 12.91%
2-2 @ 2.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 31.67%
0-1 @ 11.72%
1-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 4.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 24.38%

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