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Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Blundell Park
Salford City

Grimsby Town
1 - 4
Salford City

Khan (21')
Glennon (22')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Smith (1', 34', 40'), Galbraith (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Grimsby Town 1-1 Salford City

In a match with permutations at both ends of the table, we expect both sides to create plenty of chances in what will be a tight affair. This will be reflected in the scoreline, as Grimsby and Salford will prove inseparable and will come out of the match with a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawSalford City
35.19% (0.19 0.19) 26.96% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 37.85% (-0.204 -0.2)
Both teams to score 51% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.76% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)54.24% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.36% (-0.041 -0.04)75.64% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.62% (0.094999999999999 0.09)29.37% (-0.095000000000002 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.64% (0.117 0.12)65.36% (-0.116 -0.12)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.21% (-0.14 -0.14)27.78% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.63% (-0.181 -0.18)63.37% (0.183 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 35.19%
    Salford City 37.85%
    Draw 26.95%
Grimsby TownDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 10% (0.045 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.12% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.2% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.5% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 35.19%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.16% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 10.45% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.2% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.69% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 37.85%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Salford City

Grimsby Town
44.4%
Draw
33.3%
Salford City
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Salford City
1-1
Grimsby Town
Touray (88')
Lowe (26'), Touray (73')
Clifton (2')
Clifton (19'), Payne (50'), Matete (73')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Grimsby Town
0-4
Salford City

Tilley (48')
Ohman (90+2')
Henderson (32' pen., 63', 76'), Towell (90+3' pen.)
Hunter (28'), Towell (56'), Touray (89')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Sep 17, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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