Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Crawley Town in this match.