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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
42.74% ( 1.14) | 24.73% ( 0.02) | 32.52% ( -1.17) |
Both teams to score 57.77% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.75% ( -0.45) | 45.24% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.41% ( -0.43) | 67.58% ( 0.43) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.78% ( 0.34) | 21.22% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.88% ( 0.53) | 54.11% ( -0.53) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.33% ( -0.93) | 26.66% ( 0.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.09% ( -1.24) | 61.91% ( 1.24) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 42.74% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
> League Two Full Table |