Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 48.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 24.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.