Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 60.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 17.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.