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Barrow
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Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Crewe Alexandra

Swindon
0 - 0
Crewe

FT

Demetriou (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 2-0 Swindon
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 4-1 Bromley
Sunday, January 5 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Crewe Alexandra

While Crewe Alexandra enter this match with a much better record this season, Swindon Town have been very impressive at home since the arrival of Ian Holloway, and we feel that they will be able to take a share of the spoils from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
40.19% (-0.142 -0.14) 26.87% (0.181 0.18) 32.95% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.88% (-0.581 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.79% (-0.732 -0.73)54.21% (0.73500000000001 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.38% (-0.616 -0.62)75.61% (0.617 0.62)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (-0.41499999999999 -0.41)26.46% (0.417 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.36% (-0.556 -0.56)61.64% (0.559 0.56)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-0.393 -0.39)30.81% (0.397 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.91% (-0.465 -0.46)67.09% (0.467 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 40.19%
    Crewe Alexandra 32.95%
    Draw 26.86%
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.84% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.21% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.19%
1-1 @ 12.76% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.15% (0.231 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 9.6% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.51% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.95%

How you voted: Swindon vs Crewe

Swindon Town
38.9%
Draw
0.0%
Crewe Alexandra
61.1%
18
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Crewe
0-0
Swindon
Demetriou (44'), Tabiner (51')
Cotterill (24')
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Crewe
2-1
Swindon
Nevitt (13'), Baker-Richardson (71')
Thomas (56'), Rowe (72'), Nevitt (90+4')
Austin (30')
Kinsella (17'), Minturn (20'), Austin (34')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Swindon
2-2
Crewe
Godwin-Malife (21'), Young (47')
McEachran (26'), Mahoney (82'), Blake-Tracy (87'), Brewitt (90+6')
Williams (60'), Adebisi (85')
Adebisi (15'), Powell (15'), Bell (16'), Williams (20'), Thomas (23'), Long (67'), Davies (90+2')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Crewe
2-1
Swindon
Thomas (82'), Tabiner (86')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Swindon
0-1
Crewe
Agyei (23' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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