League Two | Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Swindon2 - 1Hartlepool
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Hartlepool United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-0 Swindon
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-6 Everton U21s
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 64.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 14.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
64.06% ( 0.17) | 21.15% ( -0.12) | 14.79% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 47.22% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
