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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.51%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Notts County |
35.03% (![]() | 23.98% (![]() | 40.99% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.22% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.93% (![]() | 41.06% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.54% (![]() | 63.45% (![]() |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.77% (![]() | 23.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.86% (![]() | 57.13% (![]() |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.74% (![]() | 20.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.39% (![]() | 52.6% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 8.01% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.87% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.01% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 3.14% Total : 35.03% | 1-1 @ 10.96% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.39% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.7% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.66% ( ![]() Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 8.76% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.51% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.19% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.27% ( ![]() Other @ 2.98% Total : 40.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 59 |
2 | Notts County | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 47 | 28 | 19 | 53 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 52 |
4 | Bradford CityBradford | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 50 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 49 |
6 | Port Vale | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 49 |
7 | Salford City | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 48 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 48 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 30 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 45 |
10 | Chesterfield | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 42 |
11 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 39 |
13 | Bromley | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 39 |
14 | MK Dons | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 38 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 36 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 34 |
19 | Gillingham | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 32 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 30 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 30 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 26 |
23 | Morecambe | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 23 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 21 |
> League Two Full Table |