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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Walsall | Draw | MK Dons |
34.46% ( -0.23) | 26.28% ( -0.18) | 39.27% ( 0.41) |
Both teams to score 53.09% ( 0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.46% ( 0.72) | 51.54% ( -0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.66% ( 0.62) | 73.34% ( -0.62) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.48% ( 0.21) | 28.52% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.7% ( 0.26) | 64.3% ( -0.25) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.27% ( 0.56) | 25.73% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.34% ( 0.75) | 60.66% ( -0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Walsall | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.46% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.41% Total : 39.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 28 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |