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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Marseille

Lorient
0 - 0
Marseille

FT

Malinovskyi (84'), Balerdi (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 3-1 Lorient
Sunday, April 2 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-2 Marseille

Marseille's superb record on the road cannot be ignored, and they should not lack any inspiration as the Ligue 1 title could still be up for grabs. As Lorient also lack their old attacking verve, OM should out-score their hosts and pick up three valuable points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.98%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
LorientDrawMarseille
18.09% (-0.397 -0.4) 22.66% (-0.273 -0.27) 59.26% (0.669 0.67)
Both teams to score 49.53% (0.128 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.01% (0.534 0.53)48.99% (-0.535 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.93% (0.482 0.48)71.07% (-0.482 -0.48)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.09% (-0.143 -0.14)40.91% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.52% (-0.131 -0.13)77.48% (0.13 0.13)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.82% (0.417 0.42)16.18% (-0.418 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.36% (0.754 0.75)45.64% (-0.754 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 18.09%
    Marseille 59.25%
    Draw 22.65%
LorientDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 5.92% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-1 @ 4.82% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-0 @ 2.64% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 1.43% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 18.09%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.62% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 22.65%
0-1 @ 12.05% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 10.98% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.81% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.67% (0.133 0.13)
1-3 @ 5.96% (0.097 0.1)
0-4 @ 3.04% (0.102 0.1)
1-4 @ 2.71% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.032 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.11% (0.052 0.05)
1-5 @ 0.99% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 59.25%

How you voted: Lorient vs Marseille

Lorient
2.0%
Draw
6.1%
Marseille
91.8%
49
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 6pm
May 8, 2022 4.05pm
Oct 17, 2021 7.45pm
Marseille
4-1
Lorient
Kamara (27'), Guendouzi (56', 90+1'), Milik (85')
Lauriente (13' pen.)
Lauriente (81')
Apr 17, 2021 4pm
Marseille
3-2
Lorient
Payet (53'), Lirola (56', 90+1')
Balerdi (39')
Moffi (19', 70')
Oct 24, 2020 4pm
Lorient
0-1
Marseille

Boisgard (20'), Mendes (54'), Gravillon (74'), Pelissier (76')
Balerdi (54')
Benedetto (37'), Gonzalez (56'), Rongier (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG17134046153143
2Marseille17113339201936
3MonacoMonaco189452920931
4Nice1786335231230
5Lille1778226161029
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens177642116527
8Toulouse177371919024
9StrasbourgStrasbourg176563029123
10Auxerre176472426-222
11Brest177192630-422
12Reims175572325-220
13Angers175481927-819
14Rennes1752102325-217
15NantesNantes173772027-716
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1751111637-2116
17Le HavreLe Havre1740131336-2312
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512


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