Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Brest had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.