Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 56.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 19.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Nantes |
56.61% ( 0.12) | 24.34% ( -0.05) | 19.05% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 46.26% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.77% ( 0.09) | 54.23% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.37% ( 0.08) | 75.63% ( -0.08) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.96% ( 0.08) | 19.04% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.38% ( 0.13) | 50.62% ( -0.13) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.13% ( -0.03) | 42.86% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.82% ( -0.02) | 79.17% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 13.53% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 56.59% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.34% | 0-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.84% Total : 19.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |