Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 52.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Nice had a probability of 22.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.