Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Amiens had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for an Amiens win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
-0.66) 
0.32) 
