Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 48.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 25.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.
0.71) 
-0.81) 
