MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 03:38:49| >> :60:295:295:
Atlanta United
MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One
Nov 2, 2024 at 11pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Inter Miami

Atlanta
2 - 1
Inter Miami

Williams (58'), Silva (90+4')
Hernandez (45+1'), Williams (63'), Slisz (90+3'), Silva (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (40')
Aviles (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Atlanta
Saturday, October 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Inter Miami

All competitions
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Atlanta
Saturday, October 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-3 Inter Miami (Inter Miami wins series 2-0)

 It has rarely been a straightforward victory for Miami, but their individual quality always seems to shine when needed, and we believe that alone will be enough to see them eliminate the Five Stripes this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 52.12%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 26.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.54%) and 1-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawInter Miami
52.12% (-0.386 -0.39) 21.34% (0.227 0.23) 26.54% (0.166 0.17)
Both teams to score 66.04% (-0.69 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.32% (-0.96300000000001 -0.96)32.68% (0.969 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.64% (-1.124 -1.12)54.35% (1.129 1.13)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.11% (-0.44200000000001 -0.44)12.89% (0.448 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.71% (-0.92 -0.92)39.29% (0.925 0.93)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.8% (-0.401 -0.4)24.19% (0.407 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.47% (-0.57400000000001 -0.57)58.52% (0.58 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 52.12%
    Inter Miami 26.54%
    Draw 21.34%
Atlanta UnitedDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.54% (0.117 0.12)
1-0 @ 6.39% (0.221 0.22)
3-1 @ 6.34% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 4.5% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.25% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-2 @ 2.31% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-3 @ 1.09% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-2 @ 0.95% (-0.055 -0.06)
5-0 @ 0.94% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 52.12%
1-1 @ 9.07% (0.209 0.21)
2-2 @ 6.59% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.12% (0.159 0.16)
3-3 @ 2.13% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 21.34%
1-2 @ 6.43% (0.073 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.42% (0.175 0.18)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.088 0.09)
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.025 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 26.54%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Inter Miami

Atlanta United
10.9%
Draw
15.6%
Inter Miami
73.4%
64
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 1.30am
Inter Miami
2-1
Atlanta
Suarez (2'), Alba (60')
Lobzhanidze (39')
Williams (90+4')
> Preview
Sep 19, 2024 12.30am
Atlanta
2-2
Inter Miami
Lobzhanidze (56'), Miranchuk (84')
McCarty (15')
Ruiz (29'), Campana (59')
Weigandt (10'), Campana (78')
> Preview
May 30, 2024 12.30am
Inter Miami
1-3
Atlanta
Messi (62')
Aviles (57')
Lobzhanidze (44', 59'), Thiare (73')
> Preview
Sep 16, 2023 10pm
Atlanta
5-2
Inter Miami
Muyumba (36'), Miller (41' og.), Lennon (44'), Giakoumakis (76'), Wolff (89')
Muyumba (29'), Abram (52')
Campana (25', 53')
Farias (57'), Stefanelli (86')
> Preview
May 7, 2023 12.30am
Inter Miami
2-1
Atlanta
> Preview
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