We said: Minnesota United 1-1 FC Cincinnati
Having won seven consecutive road matches in the competition, Cincinnati have lost two on the trot heading into Wednesday's visit to Minnesota.
While the hosts have struggled on their turf lately, losing four in five, the visiting club's seeming diminished motivation could see both sides come away with a share of the spoils.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 37.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.59%) and 2-0 (5.39%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.