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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2024 at 2.27am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Minnesota United

Houston
1 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Ferreira (82')
Dorsey (36'), Bassi (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lod (70')
Padelford (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salt Lake 3-2 Houston
Thursday, July 4 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-1 Minnesota Utd
Monday, July 8 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 2-0 Minnesota United

Houston Dynamo will be licking their lips ahead of Saturday's game as they take on an out-of-sorts Minnesota United side who have lost their last six matches. Olsen's men have been rock-solid at home, where they are unbeaten in seven of their last eight games, and we are tipping them to secure all three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 65.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 15.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawMinnesota United
65.33% (0.193 0.19) 19.23% (-0.073 -0.07) 15.43% (-0.119 -0.12)
Both teams to score 55.26% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.44% (0.104 0.1)38.56% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.14% (0.111 0.11)60.86% (-0.109 -0.11)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.94% (0.079999999999998 0.08)11.06% (-0.08 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.59% (0.17699999999999 0.18)35.41% (-0.176 -0.18)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.13% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)37.87% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.35% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)74.65% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 65.33%
    Minnesota United 15.43%
    Draw 19.23%
Houston DynamoDrawMinnesota United
2-0 @ 10.15% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.22% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.45% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.24% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.1% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.98% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.93% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.81% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.75% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 65.33%
1-1 @ 8.96% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.19% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.23%
1-2 @ 4.35% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.07% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 15.43%

How you voted: Houston vs Minnesota Utd

Houston Dynamo
77.8%
Draw
18.5%
Minnesota United
3.7%
27
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
1-2
Houston
Fragapane (70')
Boxall (55')
Bran (38' og.), Kowalczyk (77')
Carrasquilla (23'), Micael (40'), Kowalczyk (74'), Steres (87')
Jul 13, 2023 1.30am
May 24, 2023
1.30am
May 18, 2023 1.30am
Aug 27, 2022 8.30pm
Minnesota Utd
2-1
Houston
Picault (79' og.), Amarilla (84')
Reynoso (43')
Baird (45+1')
Carrasquilla (37'), Steres (63'), Parker (78')
rhs 2.0
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