Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 62.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 1-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.