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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Mar 22, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Spectrum Stadium
DC United

Orlando City
4 - 1
DC United

Muriel (21'), Ojeda (44'), Freeman (50'), Pasalic (56')
Otero (67'), Angulo (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
MacNaughton (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-2 Orlando City
Saturday, March 15 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 0-0 Montreal
Saturday, March 15 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 1-2 DC United

Orlando have been strong in attack, but their defensive frailties could prove costly against a resilient DC United side that has mastered the art of avoiding defeat, even when not securing victory, and given the visitors' superior defensive solidity, we believe they have the edge and are likely to come out on top in this encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 54.02%. A win for DC United had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawDC United
54.02% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 22.73% (0.031000000000002 0.03) 23.25% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 57.25% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.39% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)42.61% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.98% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)65.02% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.27% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)15.73% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.17% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)44.83% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.93% (0.031999999999996 0.03)32.06% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.46% (0.036999999999999 0.04)68.53% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 54.02%
    DC United 23.25%
    Draw 22.73%
Orlando CityDrawDC United
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 9.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 54.02%
1-1 @ 10.61% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.04% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.74% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.26% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 23.25%

How you voted: Orlando City vs DC United

Orlando City
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
DC United
50.0%
8
Head to Head
Jul 7, 2024 12.30am
Orlando City
5-0
DC United
Ojeda (19'), Jansson (23'), Angulo (42'), Torres (74'), Enrique (85')

Sargis (64')
Bartlett (45+2')
Apr 14, 2024 12.30am
DC United
2-3
Orlando City
Benteke (5'), Pirani (66')
Herrera (42'), Lesesne (43'), Hopkins (45+4'), Antley (45'), Dajome (45+2'), Klich (49'), Brekalo (88'), Benteke (88')
Dan Thor­halls­son (28'), Brekalo (82'), McGuire (90+1')
Cartagena (42'), Dan Thor­halls­son (55')
Mar 12, 2023 12.30am
Jul 31, 2022 10pm
DC United
2-1
Orlando City
Durkin (90+1'), Fountas (90+5')
Djeffal (8')
Urso (9')
Moutinho (69'), Michel (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew8530126618
2Charlotte FCCharlotte FC8512137616
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati8512109116
4Inter MiamiInter Miami7430126615
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia8413139413
6Nashville SCNashville8413128413
7Orlando City83321512312
8Chicago Fire83321412212
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls833297212
10New York City FCNY City83231111011
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta82331113-29
12New England RevolutionNew England721447-37
13DC United8134918-96
14Toronto8044713-64
15CF MontrealMontreal8026413-92

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver86111761119
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd8431117415
3Portland TimbersPortland84221310314
4Colorado RapidsColorado84221111014
5Austin FCAustin841368-213
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles84041011-112
7Dallas83231011-111
8San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes83141612410
9Seattle SoundersSeattle8233911-29
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake8305813-59
11St Louis City822456-18
12Houston DynamoHouston8134612-66
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas81161016-64
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy8035615-93
15San Diego FC00000000


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