Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 59.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 18.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.