We said: Fenerbahce 3-0 Hatayspor
Hatayspor are winless in away Super Lig games since January 2024, and that miserable run should continue against one of the strongest home sides on Sunday.
Fenerbahce have won six of seven home fixtures under Mourinho, with the Portuguese boss inheriting a side on a six-match winning sequence on home soil, underscoring why the Istanbul giants should overpower Sunday's second-bottom visitors.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 73.47%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 9.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.58%) and 3-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.