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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 17.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Portsmouth |
59.68% ( -0.71) | 22.54% ( 0.19) | 17.78% ( 0.52) |
Both teams to score 49.3% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.01% ( 0.02) | 48.99% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.93% ( 0.02) | 71.07% ( -0.02) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.97% ( -0.23) | 16.03% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.62% ( -0.43) | 45.38% ( 0.43) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.72% ( 0.64) | 41.28% ( -0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.19% ( 0.56) | 77.81% ( -0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 12.11% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.08% Total : 59.67% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.87% Total : 22.53% | 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.91% Total : 17.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 60 | 19 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Burnley | 30 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 58 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 45 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 44 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Bristol City | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 42 |
11 | Coventry CityCoventry | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 41 |
12 | Watford | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Millwall | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 38 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 37 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 34 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 32 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 31 |
20 | Portsmouth | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 30 |
21 | Hull City | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 27 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 25 |
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