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Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 5, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Estadio El Toralin
Real Sociedad logo

Ponferradina
0 - 2
Real Sociedad


Rodriguez Lancho (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Oyarzabal (54'), Mendez (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa del Rey clash between Ponferradina and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ponferradina 1-1 Castellon (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, December 5 at 7pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-0 Real Sociedad
Saturday, December 21 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Ponferradina 0-2 Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad have scored six times and conceded zero in their two Copa del Rey matches this season, and we are fully expecting the Basque side to secure another victory here in order to progress to the last-16 stage of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 43.14%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 27.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 1-0 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.

Result
PonferradinaDrawReal Sociedad
27.36% (0.134 0.13) 29.51% (-0.012 -0.01) 43.14% (-0.116 -0.12)
Both teams to score 41.33% (0.106 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.93% (0.094000000000001 0.09)65.07% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.06% (0.065999999999999 0.07)83.94% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.09% (0.168 0.17)40.91% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.52% (0.149 0.15)77.48% (-0.143 -0.14)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.95% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)30.05% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.82% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)66.18% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ponferradina 27.35%
    Real Sociedad 43.13%
    Draw 29.5%
PonferradinaDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 10.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.9% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.91% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.76% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.46% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.06% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 27.35%
1-1 @ 13.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 12.29% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.55% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 29.5%
0-1 @ 14.78% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 8.89% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.56% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 43.13%

How you voted: Ponferradina vs Real Sociedad

Ponferradina
15.4%
Draw
3.8%
Real Sociedad
80.8%
26
rhs 2.0
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