Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 50.12%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Estoril Praia |
50.12% (![]() | 24.81% (![]() | 25.07% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.49% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.13% (![]() | 49.86% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.13% (![]() | 71.86% (![]() |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.09% (![]() | 19.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.95% (![]() | 52.04% (![]() |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.54% (![]() | 34.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.83% (![]() | 71.16% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 11.07% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.52% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.93% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.12% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.81% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.82% Total : 50.11% | 1-1 @ 11.79% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.86% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.31% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.29% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.89% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.38% ( ![]() Other @ 2.17% Total : 25.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |