MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 16:49:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 5, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
Estoril

Estrela Amadora
2 - 4
Estoril

Luiz (57'), Pinho (70')
Gabriel Coelho Oliveira (48'), Pinho (56')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Xeka (15'), Begraoui (25'), Gabriel Coelho Oliveira (31' og.), Marques (76')
Marques (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AVS 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, December 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-2 Moreirense
Saturday, December 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estrela Amadora 2-0 Estoril Praia

Estrela have rediscovered their form on home turf, winning four of the last six matches in front of their fans and scoring at least twice in five of those encounters. With the visitors struggling on their travels - failing to score in five of their seven league outings - keeping up with the hosts could prove a daunting task, making a home win the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 50.12%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawEstoril Praia
50.12% (0.471 0.47) 24.81% (0.113 0.11) 25.07% (-0.588 -0.59)
Both teams to score 52.49% (-0.91999999999999 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.13% (-0.942 -0.94)49.86% (0.936 0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.13% (-0.848 -0.85)71.86% (0.84399999999999 0.84)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.09% (-0.182 -0.18)19.91% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.95% (-0.29 -0.29)52.04% (0.287 0.29)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.54% (-0.999 -1)34.45% (0.995 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.83% (-1.078 -1.08)71.16% (1.073 1.07)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 50.11%
    Estoril Praia 25.07%
    Draw 24.8%
Estrela AmadoraDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 11.07% (0.36 0.36)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.93% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.81% (0.103 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.07% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 50.11%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.257 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.31% (0.081 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 25.07%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Estoril

Estrela Amadora
77.3%
Draw
4.5%
Estoril Praia
18.2%
22
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2024 11pm
Feb 4, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 20
Estoril
1-0
Estrela Amadora
Fernandes (57')
Marques (38'), Marques (71'), Ndiaye (75')

Bucca (79'), Sa (85')
Aug 25, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 3
Estrela Amadora
2-1
Estoril
Tavares (47'), Cordeiro (90+10')
Pereira Martins (87')
Marques (67')
Holsgrove (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon19152253143947
2Benfica19132443142941
3Porto19132442152741
4Braga19114434191537
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1910272120132
6Casa Pia198652523230
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes196852825326
8Estoril PraiaEstoril196672230-824
9MoreirenseMoreirense196582226-423
10Rio AveRio Ave196582032-1223
11Gil Vicente195772228-622
12FamalicaoFamalicao194962024-421
13Nacional1954101626-1019
14AroucaArouca1954101630-1419
15AVS193971527-1218
16Estrela Amadora1945101630-1417
17SC FarenseFarense1936101225-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1926111332-1912


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