Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kettering Town win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Guiseley had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kettering Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Guiseley win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
