Southport

2 - 1

Chorley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Southport had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.