Southport

2 - 1

Guiseley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Guiseley had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Guiseley win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.