Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 58.56%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Barnet had a probability of 17.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.77%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Barnet win it was 1-0 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.