Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 53.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Barnet had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Barnet win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.