Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Sutton United |
28.34% ( -0.04) | 24.61% ( -0.02) | 47.05% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 55.92% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.34% ( 0.07) | 46.66% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.07% ( 0.07) | 68.92% ( -0.07) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.81% ( 0.01) | 30.18% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.66% ( 0.01) | 66.34% ( -0.02) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.09% ( 0.05) | 19.91% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.96% ( 0.08) | 52.04% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Sutton United |
1-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.96% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0) Other @ 3.13% Total : 28.34% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.83% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.05% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 47.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 59 | 30 | 29 | 60 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 56 |
3 | York City | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 45 |
6 | Rochdale | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 42 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 41 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 39 |
12 | Eastleigh | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 38 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 38 |
15 | Tamworth | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 25 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 12 |
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