Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 56.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 21.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 2-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Sutton United |
21.16% ( 1.3) | 22.12% ( 0.72) | 56.73% ( -2.02) |
Both teams to score 56.42% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.65% ( -1.48) | 42.35% ( 1.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.24% ( -1.49) | 64.75% ( 1.5) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.18% ( 0.43) | 33.82% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.51% ( 0.46) | 70.49% ( -0.46) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.26% ( -1.12) | 14.74% ( 1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.04% ( -2.19) | 42.96% ( 2.2) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Sutton United |
2-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.19% Total : 21.16% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.11% | 1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 9.14% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 6.32% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 5.83% ( -0.33) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 3.03% ( -0.26) 0-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.28) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.12) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.15) 0-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.87% Total : 56.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 30 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 27 |
3 | York City | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Gateshead | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Rochdale | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 24 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 18 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 17 |
14 | Tamworth | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Woking | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 16 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 14 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 14 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 13 |
21 | Fylde | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 12 |
22 | Boston UnitedBoston | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 6 |
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